(Pension Future Forum Position on Professor Nam Chan-seop's Slow News Column) Basic Pension Reform, Replace the Deceptive 'More for the Lower, Less for the Upper' With a Basic Income for Older People! (Posted September 15, 2026)

(The Pension Future Forum
hereby requests a public
explanation regarding
the grounds for the
claims made in
this article—claims that Professor Nam
Chan-seop has made and
still continues to
make—concerning the ratio of pension
expenditure to GDP,
for the following reasons.)
(The following content is quoted from
Professor Nam Chan-seop's
column in Slow News.)
"Group with increasing expenditure?
In reality, it is at most around 40%.
There have been remarks from government economic ministries that allow one to guess the background of that change.
Namely, while Basic Pension expenditure is currently 23.1 trillion won, by 2040 it will reach 48 trillion won, which is double the current amount.
The current Basic Pension expenditure of 23.1 trillion won is approximately 0.9% of GDP.
However, according to the Fifth National Pension financial projection, GDP in 2040 is projected to be 4,002 trillion won.
Therefore, the 48 trillion won for the Basic Pension in 2040 would be 1.2% of that year's GDP; while this is an increase from now, it is not a very large increase.
Then why do the economic ministries speak of Basic Pension expenditure in absolute amounts rather than as a ratio to GDP?
I believe this is enough to arouse suspicion that the intention is to shrink the scale of expenditure by speaking as though Basic Pension expenditure were increasing sharply."
Including in
the Slow News column quoted
above, whose link is attached,
Professor Nam Chan-seop has all along argued,
citing the fact that
the expenditure ratio of our
public pensions relative to GDP
is less than 10%,
that public pension expenditure can be
significantly increased.
He has made nearly identical claims in the Fifth National Pension Financial Estimation Committee of 2023,
the Advisory Committee to the 21st
National Assembly Special Committee on Pension Reform, and the Advisory Committee
to the 22nd National Assembly Special Committee on Pension Reform.
In the Advisory Committee to the 22nd National Assembly Special Committee
on Pension Reform,
an estimate by Advisory Committee Member
Yun Suk-myung—based on data received from the
government—that Korea's public pension expenditure
ratio relative to GDP would exceed 15%,
had its distribution blocked several times,
but as that content was included in
Committee Member Yun Suk-myung's
presentation materials at the tenth advisory committee meeting,
which was the final meeting,
it was finally possible to leave it as an official
National Assembly record.
The Pension Future Forum hereby puts the following questions publicly.
Despite these official
data submissions,
why does Professor Nam Chan-seop—
why!—
still claim that Korea's public pension
expenditure ratio
relative to GDP is low?
(This is because,
according to official government
financial projection data, even if the
current Basic Pension
is maintained as is,
the ratio of the Basic Pension
relative to GDP is estimated to reach
the 3% level in the long term.)
(A capture of the relevant section from the presentation materials of the tenth meeting of the Advisory Committee to the
22nd National Assembly Special Committee on
Pension Reform is attached as a file.)
